About 30 years ago took the decision to launch a massive vaccination program against swine flu in the United States. It seemed a good idea at the time, but two things happened to launch mass vaccination programs in a bad light. On the one hand, it provides the swine flu pandemic arose.
Another problem – which proved to be much more serious – is that (appears) contaminated the vaccine caused severe neurological problems in several hundred people who received the vaccine. This side effect was rare – about 1 case per 100,000 vaccinations. But because they never started the pandemic, there is no benefit to taking the vaccine, so completely dominated the side effects of column space in newspapers of the day. The swine flu vaccine in 1976 he received a very bad press.
Today you can not mention the issue of vaccine “swine flu” on the web without people jumping all sorts of conspiracy theories in relation to vaccine companies and their intention to sow the world with fire Dangerous swine flu that causes more misery than good.
Surviving the Flu Pandemic, Stephen Carter makes a bit of risk management and shows that, assuming that the swine flu virus remains mild and causes no more than 3 deaths per 10,000 infections, and if the risk side effects of vaccines today is as high as it was 30 years (unlikely), then the probability of dying from an infection of the swine flu still 10 times greater than dying from a secondary effect due to a vaccine against the disease.
I was surprised that the number is only 10, but this is worst, and if these shots are actually safer than contaminated vaccines 1976, the number could be as much as 100. Then there is the possibility of a more deadly strain of swine flu that arise. If that happens, the number is growing again.
For full details, visit Survive flu pandemic. It is the only place I’ve seen a realistic assessment of this risk:
